默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Gummersbach v HSG Wetzlar

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Gummersbach (主队)

预测 87.17%1.15公平赔率
EV -5.86%
优势 -5.43%
Kelly -73.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.08

博彩公司预测分布
83.44%87.28%87.06%89.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.051.0897.09%94.65%95.24%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

HSG Wetzlar (客队)

预测 7.80%12.83公平赔率
EV +24.76%
优势 +1.55%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.409%

假设最高赔率为 16.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.74%7.74%7.87%10.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5011.1210.8816.0011.76%9.00%9.20%6.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 5.04%19.85公平赔率
EV +20.89%
优势 +0.870%
Kelly +0.908%
增长率 +0.190%

假设最高赔率为 24.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.77%4.98%5.07%6.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.5017.2315.0024.007.41%5.80%6.67%4.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:VfL Gummersbach (主队):87.17%;HSG Wetzlar (客队):7.80%;平局:5.04%。 对于“HSG Wetzlar (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.83。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为16.00,对应+24.76%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.16%EV -10.22%E -9.92%K -340.64%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +24.76%E +1.55%K +1.65%G +0.409%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -9.33%E -0.519%K -0.549%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.81%EV -10.22%E -9.92%K -340.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +16.96%E +1.13%K +1.21%G +0.205%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +15.85%E +0.689%K +0.721%G +0.114%8.1%2026-04-10 05:40
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.81%EV -10.22%E -9.92%K -340.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +16.96%E +1.13%K +1.21%G +0.205%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +15.85%E +0.689%K +0.721%G +0.114%8.1%2026-04-10 05:40
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.35%E -8.99%K -233.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +9.16%E +0.654%K +0.705%G +0.065%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +5.78%E +0.275%K +0.289%G +0.017%8.1%2026-04-10 05:38
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.69%EV -7.60%E -7.17%K -126.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +1.36%E +0.105%K +0.114%G +0.002%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -9.33%E -0.519%K -0.549%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.36%E +0.105%K +0.114%G +0.002%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.78%E +0.275%K +0.289%G +0.017%7.7%2026-04-11 06:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +1.36%E +0.105%K +0.114%G +0.002%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.78%E +0.275%K +0.289%G +0.017%7.7%2026-04-10 05:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -6.43%E -0.536%K -0.585%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -4.30%E -0.226%K -0.239%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:05
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.67%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -14.23%E -1.29%K -1.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -9.33%E -0.519%K -0.549%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 05:40
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.67%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -14.23%E -1.29%K -1.42%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -9.33%E -0.519%K -0.549%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 05:40
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -9.35%E -8.99%K -233.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -14.23%E -1.29%K -1.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -9.35%E -8.99%K -233.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -14.23%E -1.29%K -1.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -9.35%E -8.99%K -233.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -14.23%E -1.29%K -1.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.88%EV -6.73%E -6.29%K -96.18%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.55%EV -16.18%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.57%EV -16.89%E -1.02%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 86.96%EV -9.35%E -8.99%K -233.69%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.28%EV -23.98%E -2.46%K -2.74%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.77%EV +20.89%E +0.870%K +0.908%G +0.190%10.6%2026-04-11 17:48
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:19
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:20
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:20
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -5.86%E -5.43%K -73.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -25.93%E -2.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -24.44%E -1.63%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 08:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 83.44%EV -8.48%E -8.07%K -169.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -33.72%E -3.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.26%EV -29.48%E -2.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 08:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 83.51%EV -10.22%E -9.92%K -340.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.12%EV -33.72%E -3.97%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.37%EV -32.00%E -2.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-10 05:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 83.99%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.18%15.6%2026-04-10 05:40

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.11%8.59I 11.64%NM 10.89%6.9%2026-04-11 16:30