默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf v SC DHfK Leipzig

开赛时间: 2026-05-08 18:00 UTC

最终结果: TSV Hannover-Burgdorf 36–33 SC DHfK Leipzig

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队)

预测 60.10%1.66公平赔率
EV -3.84%
优势 -2.40%
Kelly -6.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
58.66%60.26%60.12%61.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.531.511.6068.03%65.50%66.23%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

SC DHfK Leipzig (客队)

预测 30.12%3.32公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -0.748%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布
28.30%29.95%30.11%31.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.023.053.2435.71%33.13%32.79%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.78%10.22公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -0.217%
Kelly -0.241%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.18%9.80%9.77%11.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.918.5010.0012.50%11.22%11.76%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (主队):60.10%;SC DHfK Leipzig (客队):30.12%;平局:9.78%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.22。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为10.00,期望值为-2.17%,未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.90%EV -6.08%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 12:44
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:50
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.15%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.28%EV -7.44%E -4.83%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -7.06%E -0.743%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.28%EV -7.44%E -4.83%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -7.06%E -0.743%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.25%E -6.12%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.65%EV -8.04%E -0.855%K -0.957%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 17:14
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.25%E -6.12%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.65%EV -8.04%E -0.855%K -0.957%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.20%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -2.17%E -0.217%K -0.241%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -11.95%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 17:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.65%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.65%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.65%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.05%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -15.68%E -5.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -7.06%E -0.743%K -0.831%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-08 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.05%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -15.68%E -5.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -7.06%E -0.743%K -0.831%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-08 16:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.66%EV -9.85%E -6.57%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -12.66%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -21.74%E -2.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.95%EV -11.05%E -7.47%K -23.02%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.30%EV -2.42%E -0.748%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.75%EV -8.04%E -0.855%K -0.957%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.37%EV -11.05%E -7.47%K -23.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -12.66%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -16.85%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.08%EV -11.65%E -7.93%K -24.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -13.27%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 9.25%EV -6.57%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:47
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 59.39%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.53%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.08%15.3%2026-05-08 17:14

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%6.1%2026-05-08 17:15