语言:简体中文
THW Kiel v VfL Gummersbach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
THW Kiel (主队)
预测 62.73%1.59公平赔率
EV +0.365%
优势 +0.228%
Kelly +0.608%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
59.49%62.52%62.72%65.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.441.441.6073.53%69.27%69.44%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
VfL Gummersbach (客队)
预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.556%
优势 -0.155%
Kelly -0.214%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
24.71%27.66%27.61%30.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.033.413.403.6033.00%29.35%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.65%10.36公平赔率
EV -3.51%
优势 -0.351%
Kelly -0.390%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.17%9.83%9.67%11.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.099.0010.0012.50%11.00%11.11%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：THW Kiel (主队)：62.73%；VfL Gummersbach (客队)：27.62%；平局：9.65%。 对于“THW Kiel (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.59。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.60，对应+0.365%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.365%E +0.228%K +0.608%G +0.002% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -12.99%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.29%EV -10.75%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.16%EV -7.16%E -4.84%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -3.51%E -0.351%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.32%EV -7.79%E -5.30%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -3.51%E -0.351%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -7.79%E -5.30%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.86%EV -10.26%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.10%EV -8.42%E -5.77%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.40%EV -5.44%E -0.555%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -9.04%E -6.24%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -9.04%E -6.24%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -9.04%E -6.24%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.88%EV -9.04%E -6.24%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -7.37%E -0.768%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.88%EV -9.04%E -6.24%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -7.37%E -0.768%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.64%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.15%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.36%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -22.81%E -2.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.36%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -22.81%E -2.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.36%EV -9.67%E -6.72%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -22.81%E -2.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -10.93%E -7.69%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -3.32%E -0.948%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.51%E -0.351%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -10.93%E -7.69%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -12.99%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.58%EV -12.18%E -8.70%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.45%EV -16.30%E -5.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 9.97%EV -16.54%E -1.91%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-28 18:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -14.69%E -10.80%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -0.556%E -0.155%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -14.69%E -10.80%K -40.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -0.556%E -0.155%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -13.16%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 07:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 15.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 45.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 12.42% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.54% | 117.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 45.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 12.42% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.54% | 117.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 45.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 12.42% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 42.54% | 117.7% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |