預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt v SC DHfK Leipzig

開賽時間: 2026-03-07 18:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主隊)

預測 85.82%1.17公平賠率
EV -7.32%
優勢 -6.78%
Kelly -91.48%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.08

博彩公司預測分布
82.98%85.77%85.61%89.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.031.071.081.0897.09%93.58%93.02%92.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值

SC DHfK Leipzig (客隊)

預測 9.06%11.03公平賠率
EV +26.90%
優勢 +1.92%
Kelly +2.07%
成長率 +0.557%

假設最高賠率為 14.00

博彩公司預測分布
6.57%9.14%9.25%12.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.2510.3710.5014.0013.79%9.65%9.52%7.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 5.12%19.53公平賠率
EV +22.87%
優勢 +0.953%
Kelly +0.994%
成長率 +0.227%

假設最高賠率為 24.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.88%5.09%5.13%6.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
13.0017.5517.0024.007.69%5.70%5.88%4.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主隊):85.82%;SC DHfK Leipzig (客隊):9.06%;和局:5.12%。 對於「SC DHfK Leipzig (客隊)」,該估計相當於11.03的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為14.00,對應+26.90%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -11.61%E -11.27%K -386.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +26.90%E +1.92%K +2.07%G +0.557%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +12.63%E +0.574%K +0.601%G +0.076%8.8%2026-03-06 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -9.89%E -9.42%K -197.86%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +17.84%E +1.37%K +1.49%G +0.265%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -2.73%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.71%EV -8.18%E -7.64%K -116.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +8.77%E +0.731%K +0.797%G +0.070%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +7.51%E +0.358%K +0.376%G +0.028%6.6%2026-03-07 10:44
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:15
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:15
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.73%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -4.82%E -0.459%K -0.508%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.36%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -2.73%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 10:20
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.36%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -2.73%E -0.144%K -0.152%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 10:24
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -9.36%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -9.36%E -0.936%K -1.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -12.97%E -0.763%K -0.810%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.91%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -11.17%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV -18.09%E -1.13%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.30%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -13.89%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.88%EV +22.87%E +0.953%K +0.994%G +0.227%7.3%2026-03-07 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.89%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -33.45%E -2.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.81%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.35%EV -13.89%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -33.45%E -2.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 17:50
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.14%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -18.42%E -2.05%K -2.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -23.21%E -1.55%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 82.98%EV -9.03%E -8.52%K -150.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.13%EV -34.28%E -4.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.89%EV -7.85%E -0.436%K -0.462%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 10:45
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 61.97%16.50I 6.06%NM 4.06%1.97I 50.76%NM 33.97%49.4%2026-03-07 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 37.21%1.28I 78.13%NM 31.40%1.28I 78.13%NM 31.40%148.8%2026-03-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 37.21%1.28I 78.13%NM 31.40%1.28I 78.13%NM 31.40%148.8%2026-03-06 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 37.21%1.28I 78.13%NM 31.40%1.28I 78.13%NM 31.40%148.8%2026-03-06 11:55

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%6.3%2026-03-07 17:15