默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt v HSG Wetzlar

开赛时间: 2026-02-27 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队)

预测 87.59%1.14公平赔率
EV -7.16%
优势 -6.75%
Kelly -119.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.06

博彩公司预测分布
85.83%87.70%87.61%90.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.60%95.24%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

HSG Wetzlar (客队)

预测 7.58%13.20公平赔率
EV +28.83%
优势 +1.70%
Kelly +1.80%
增长率 +0.520%

假设最高赔率为 17.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.40%7.50%7.59%9.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.2012.2912.0017.0010.87%8.14%8.33%5.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 4.84%20.68公平赔率
EV +35.39%
优势 +1.26%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.464%

假设最高赔率为 28.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.18%4.80%4.80%5.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0019.6920.0028.006.67%5.08%5.00%3.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SG Flensburg-Handewitt (主队):87.59%;HSG Wetzlar (客队):7.58%;平局:4.84%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.68。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为28.00,对应+35.39%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.01%EV -10.66%E -10.45%K -533.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV +28.83%E +1.70%K +1.80%G +0.520%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.72%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +13.68%E +0.912%K +0.977%G +0.134%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +11.21%E +0.488%K +0.510%G +0.057%7.2%2026-02-27 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.56%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +13.68%E +0.912%K +0.977%G +0.134%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.23%EV +6.38%E +0.290%K +0.304%G +0.019%7.4%2026-02-27 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.81%EV -9.79%E -9.50%K -326.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +13.68%E +0.912%K +0.977%G +0.134%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV +11.21%E +0.488%K +0.510%G +0.057%8.1%2026-02-27 11:47
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.03%EV -8.03%E -7.65%K -160.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -1.48%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -8.13%E -0.428%K -0.452%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.34%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -1.48%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.79%E -9.50%K -326.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -1.48%E -0.114%K -0.123%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -8.13%E -0.428%K -0.452%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV -3.29%E -0.165%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 08:59
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.61%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -9.06%E -0.755%K -0.823%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -8.13%E -0.428%K -0.452%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -7.16%E -6.75%K -119.31%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -12.85%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000%17.25I 5.80%NM 5.33%EV -16.59%E -0.962%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.30%EV -8.03%E -7.65%K -160.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -16.64%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV +1.54%E +0.073%K +0.077%G +0.001%9.1%2026-02-27 08:30
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.30%EV -8.03%E -7.65%K -160.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -16.64%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV +1.54%E +0.073%K +0.077%G +0.001%9.1%2026-02-27 08:30
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -16.64%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.47%E -1.83%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -16.64%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.47%E -1.83%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -8.91%E -8.57%K -222.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -16.64%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -27.47%E -1.83%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 85.83%EV -10.66%E -10.45%K -533.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -20.43%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.84%EV -27.47%E -1.83%K -1.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-27 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 87.16%EV -10.66%E -10.45%K -533.11%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.66%EV -30.28%E -3.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.18%EV +35.39%E +1.26%K +1.31%G +0.464%12.5%2026-02-27 17:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 91.91%19.01I 5.26%NM 5.08%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.01%3.6%2026-02-27 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 40.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 38.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 21.17%136.1%2026-02-27 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 40.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 38.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 21.17%136.1%2026-02-27 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 40.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 38.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 21.17%136.1%2026-02-27 16:39

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.15%10.61I 9.43%NM 8.85%6.5%2026-02-27 11:50