Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: SG BBM Bietigheim (Casa): 26.17%; TBV Lemgo (Trasferta): 64.43%; Pareggio: 9.40%. Per SG BBM Bietigheim (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.82. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.80, con un valore atteso del -0.557%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -0.557%E -0.146%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.12%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -1.27%E -0.121%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -2.65%E -0.712%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.04%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 9.34I 10.71%NM 9.96%EV -12.18%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.09%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.67%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-05 23:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.94%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -24.78%E -3.10%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.22%E -5.02%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.51%E -5.99%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.08%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.08%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.91%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.08%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.34%EV -8.93%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.11%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.55%EV -9.73%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -7.87%E -5.50%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -5.97%E -0.597%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -12.33%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.89%EV -11.09%E -8.04%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -15.38%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.11%EV -14.43%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.31%EV -9.80%E -7.00%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.58%EV -13.02%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -17.57%E -5.58%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.48%EV -11.09%E -8.04%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.14%EV -20.08%E -2.36%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.70% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 15.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.60% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.40% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |