默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Magdeburg v SG Flensburg-Handewitt

开赛时间: 2026-05-21 18:00 UTC

最终结果: SC Magdeburg 31–30 SG Flensburg-Handewitt

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Magdeburg (主队)

预测 64.29%1.56公平赔率
EV -0.345%
优势 -0.223%
Kelly -0.627%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
61.43%64.15%64.41%65.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.401.401.5574.07%71.43%71.43%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

SG Flensburg-Handewitt (客队)

预测 26.36%3.79公平赔率
EV -1.13%
优势 -0.302%
Kelly -0.412%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
23.82%26.42%26.26%28.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.603.603.7530.77%27.76%27.78%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.34%10.70公平赔率
EV -1.91%
优势 -0.182%
Kelly -0.201%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 10.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.78%9.43%9.33%10.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.509.359.0010.5011.76%10.70%11.11%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC Magdeburg (主队):64.29%;SG Flensburg-Handewitt (客队):26.36%;平局:9.34%。 对于“SC Magdeburg (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.55,期望值为-0.345%,未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.43%EV -0.345%E -0.223%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV -8.45%E -0.862%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.98%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.41%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -1.91%E -0.182%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.89%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -1.91%E -0.182%K -0.201%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -6.58%E -0.658%K -0.731%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.61%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -6.58%E -0.658%K -0.731%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.20%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.36%EV -8.45%E -0.862%K -0.960%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -9.35%E -6.63%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -6.58%E -0.658%K -0.731%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 16:00
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -9.35%E -6.63%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.04%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -6.58%E -0.658%K -0.731%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-21 16:00
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.41%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.09%EV -9.99%E -7.13%K -24.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -11.25%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.66%EV -10.63%E -7.65%K -27.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.98%EV -13.53%E -4.12%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.36%EV -11.72%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-21 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.37%EV -11.27%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -14.32%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-21 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.75%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -11.25%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-20 14:29
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.75%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -11.25%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-20 14:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -20.59%E -2.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -20.59%E -2.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -1.13%E -0.302%K -0.412%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -20.59%E -2.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.35%EV -13.20%E -9.78%K -37.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -6.41%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -15.92%E -1.77%K -1.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-20 15:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 63.28%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%15.4%2026-05-21 16:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%6.4%2026-05-21 17:20