默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Magdeburg v Füchse Berlin

开赛时间: 2026-09-03 18:18 UTC

最终结果: SC Magdeburg 36–32 Füchse Berlin

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Magdeburg (主队)

预测 72.48%1.38公平赔率
EV -5.78%
优势 -4.44%
Kelly -19.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
70.95%72.52%72.32%73.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.58%79.37%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Füchse Berlin (客队)

预测 19.37%5.16公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -0.635%
Kelly -0.794%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
17.89%19.32%19.50%20.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.354.734.755.0022.99%21.13%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 8.15%12.26公平赔率
EV +6.01%
优势 +0.463%
Kelly +0.501%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.06%8.16%8.18%9.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5011.4612.0013.0010.53%8.72%8.33%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC Magdeburg (主队):72.48%;Füchse Berlin (客队):19.37%;平局:8.15%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.26。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为13.00,对应+6.01%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.98%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +6.01%E +0.463%K +0.501%G +0.030%9.0%2026-09-03 18:05
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 10:00
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.05%EV -7.95%E -6.26%K -29.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.02%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.168%G +0.003%7.8%2026-09-02 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.69%EV -8.68%E -6.89%K -33.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.17%E -0.635%K -0.794%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -3.17%E -0.635%K -0.794%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.57%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -5.11%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.41%EV -5.78%E -4.44%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.41%EV -6.08%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -6.22%E -0.541%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.57%E -9.49%K -52.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.17%E -0.635%K -0.794%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -10.30%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.19%EV -10.85%E -8.82%K -47.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -10.30%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 18:09
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -7.23%E -5.64%K -25.81%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.67%EV -3.37%E -0.675%K -0.844%G +0.000%10.89I 9.18%NM 8.55%EV -11.19%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.41%EV -7.23%E -5.64%K -25.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.09%EV -11.89%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.50%EV -12.34%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 18:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -11.57%E -9.49%K -52.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.38%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.43%EV -10.85%E -8.82%K -47.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.20%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.37%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-02 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.18%EV -11.57%E -9.49%K -52.61%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 17.89%EV -3.37%E -0.675%K -0.844%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -18.45%E -1.85%K -2.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 18:10
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -22.53%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -22.53%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -9.40%E -7.52%K -37.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -12.86%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -22.53%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 18:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 71.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%15.9%2026-09-03 18:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.79%6.7%2026-09-03 17:00