语言:简体中文
SC DHfK Leipzig v VfL Gummersbach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)
预测 13.94%7.17公平赔率
EV +4.58%
优势 +0.610%
Kelly +0.704%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.09%14.04%14.06%15.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.856.817.007.5017.09%14.67%14.29%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
VfL Gummersbach (客队)
预测 78.70%1.27公平赔率
EV -5.56%
优势 -4.63%
Kelly -27.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
76.62%78.61%78.50%81.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.151.151.2090.09%87.21%86.96%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 7.36%13.59公平赔率
EV +10.35%
优势 +0.690%
Kelly +0.740%
增长率 +0.077%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.19%7.35%7.43%8.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0013.0113.0015.009.09%7.69%7.69%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)：13.94%；VfL Gummersbach (客队)：78.70%；平局：7.36%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.59。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为15.00，对应+10.35%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +4.58%E +0.610%K +0.704%G +0.032% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +10.35%E +0.690%K +0.740%G +0.077% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -5.18%E -0.762%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.92%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV +3.00%E +0.214%K +0.230%G +0.007% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.81%EV +1.09%E +0.150%K +0.174%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -4.36%E -0.335%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -2.40%E -0.342%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -4.36%E -0.335%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.58%E +0.610%K +0.704%G +0.032% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.86%E -10.59%K -98.80%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -4.36%E -0.335%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-16 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +4.58%E +0.610%K +0.704%G +0.032% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -11.86%E -10.59%K -98.80%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -4.36%E -0.335%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-16 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -12.85%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.96%EV -12.64%E -11.39%K -114.94%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.01%EV -8.04%E -0.643%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.30%EV -11.46%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.41%EV -9.88%E -0.806%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-16 16:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.72%EV -18.43%E -3.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.62%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -11.72%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.25%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -11.72%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -10.76%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.25%EV -8.71%E -7.51%K -54.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -11.72%E -0.976%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.14%EV -12.85%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.18%EV -11.07%E -9.80%K -85.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.68%EV -15.40%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-15 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -19.07%E -1.73%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -19.07%E -1.73%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -9.37%E -1.44%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -19.07%E -1.73%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.41% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.37% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.22% | 15.9% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 16:25 |