默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC DHfK Leipzig v ThSV Eisenach

开赛时间: 2026-03-29 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC DHfK Leipzig (主队)

预测 55.89%1.79公平赔率
EV -4.43%
优势 -2.59%
Kelly -6.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
54.42%55.95%55.71%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.661.651.7163.29%60.42%60.79%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

ThSV Eisenach (客队)

预测 32.79%3.05公平赔率
EV -4.91%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -2.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.71%32.80%32.89%35.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.712.702.9039.22%36.87%37.11%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.32%8.83公平赔率
EV +1.90%
优势 +0.211%
Kelly +0.238%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.31%11.26%11.40%12.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.258.278.139.0013.79%12.09%12.31%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC DHfK Leipzig (主队):55.89%;ThSV Eisenach (客队):32.79%;平局:11.32%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.83。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.00,对应+1.90%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +1.90%E +0.211%K +0.238%G +0.005%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.59%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.10%EV -11.80%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.31%EV +0.768%E +0.086%K +0.097%G +0.001%9.0%2026-03-28 02:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.58%E -6.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.76%E -0.442%K -0.501%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-28 01:14
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.23%EV -6.59%E -0.799%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 15:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.19%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -9.42%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.19%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -9.42%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.51%EV -8.34%E -5.09%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -9.83%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.42%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 10:39
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.51%EV -8.34%E -5.09%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -9.83%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.42%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.39%EV -13.11%E -4.95%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.64%EV -13.95%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 10:34
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.72%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.19%E -2.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -15.08%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-27 10:39
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.83%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -15.08%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.83%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -15.08%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.83%E -3.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -15.08%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 15:39
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.22%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.08%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.22%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.08%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-27 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.42%EV -11.69%E -7.40%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.72%EV -16.39%E -6.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.86%EV -17.91%E -2.47%K -2.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-27 10:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 54.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.72%15.3%2026-03-27 13:30

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%5.5%2026-03-26 21:19