默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen v MT Melsungen

开赛时间: 2026-05-01 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Rhein-Neckar Löwen 30–22 MT Melsungen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (主队)

预测 56.20%1.78公平赔率
EV -3.33%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -4.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
53.32%56.23%56.15%59.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.621.631.7265.36%61.79%61.54%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

MT Melsungen (客队)

预测 32.53%3.07公平赔率
EV +0.829%
优势 +0.267%
Kelly +0.395%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.47%32.67%32.48%36.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.532.802.803.1039.53%35.69%35.71%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.27%8.87公平赔率
EV +8.19%
优势 +0.853%
Kelly +0.953%
增长率 +0.078%

假设最高赔率为 9.60

博彩公司预测分布
9.90%11.11%11.37%12.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.168.109.6013.33%12.25%12.35%10.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rhein-Neckar Löwen (主队):56.20%;MT Melsungen (客队):32.53%;平局:11.27%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.87。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.60,对应+8.19%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV +0.829%E +0.267%K +0.395%G +0.003%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.90%EV +8.19%E +0.853%K +0.953%G +0.078%5.2%2026-05-01 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +1.43%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%8.7%2026-05-01 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.32%EV -3.33%E -1.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.25%EV -17.71%E -7.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV -0.823%E -0.094%K -0.106%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 16:39
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -4.20%E -0.495%K -0.561%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.47%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.23%EV -7.59%E -0.925%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.17%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 14:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.93%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.06%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.72%EV -10.64%E -6.69%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 32.69%EV -11.86%E -4.37%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 11.58%EV -13.78%E -1.80%K -2.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 14:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 13:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.75%EV -14.01%E -9.16%K -26.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.75%EV -14.01%E -9.16%K -26.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.68%EV -11.20%E -7.09%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.18%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.73%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 14:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 55.50%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.80%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.70%15.5%2026-05-01 16:09

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%5.8%2026-05-01 16:44