语言:简体中文
MT Melsungen v VfL Gummersbach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 42.74%2.34公平赔率
EV -5.98%
优势 -2.72%
Kelly -4.98%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
41.81%42.66%42.73%45.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.132.152.2051.28%46.97%46.51%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
VfL Gummersbach (客队)
预测 45.09%2.22公平赔率
EV -5.31%
优势 -2.53%
Kelly -4.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
42.07%45.31%45.08%46.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.022.022.1053.19%49.62%49.50%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.17%8.22公平赔率
EV +3.44%
优势 +0.405%
Kelly +0.459%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 8.50
博彩公司预测分布
10.79%12.03%12.19%12.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.617.608.5014.29%13.14%13.16%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：42.74%；VfL Gummersbach (客队)：45.09%；平局：12.17%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.22。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+3.44%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -11.17%E -5.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +3.44%E +0.405%K +0.459%G +0.016% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -6.83%E -3.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -8.91%E -4.41%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -5.98%E -2.72%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.69%EV -11.17%E -5.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.64%E -0.331%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.09%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -5.69%E -0.734%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.23%EV -9.40%E -4.43%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -7.51%E -0.989%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.64%EV -8.97%E -4.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -7.51%E -0.989%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.64%EV -8.97%E -4.21%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -7.51%E -0.989%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.26%E -3.35%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.73%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.11%E -3.77%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -7.56%E -3.69%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -8.73%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -12.39%E -6.04%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.95%EV -15.23%E -8.10%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.91%EV -11.77%E -1.62%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-13 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.25%E -4.88%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.81%E -4.91%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -16.66%E -8.54%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -16.66%E -8.54%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -5.31%E -2.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.39%E -6.04%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -10.72%E -5.41%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -14.81%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.72% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.95% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.33% | 15.9% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 23.48% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.02% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 25.51% | 88.5% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 23.48% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.02% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 25.51% | 88.5% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 23.48% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.02% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 25.51% | 88.5% | 2026-03-13 18:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |