语言:简体中文
MT Melsungen v THW Kiel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 30.80%3.25公平赔率
EV +1.64%
优势 +0.496%
Kelly +0.712%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
27.17%30.66%31.16%32.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.073.123.3036.36%32.53%32.05%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
THW Kiel (客队)
预测 58.91%1.70公平赔率
EV -5.75%
优势 -3.59%
Kelly -9.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
56.77%58.99%58.56%62.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.45%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 10.30%9.71公平赔率
EV +2.95%
优势 +0.295%
Kelly +0.328%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.18%10.34%10.28%11.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.598.5010.0012.50%11.64%11.76%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：30.80%；THW Kiel (客队)：58.91%；平局：10.30%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.71。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.00，对应+2.95%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV +1.64%E +0.496%K +0.712%G +0.012% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -15.18%E -10.54%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-26 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV +1.64%E +0.496%K +0.712%G +0.012% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -15.18%E -10.54%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-26 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV +0.098%E +0.030%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.92%EV -10.46%E -6.88%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -9.92%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-27 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.37%EV -3.91%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -11.05%E -7.32%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.96%EV -5.28%E -0.574%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 17:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.20%EV -11.64%E -7.76%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.99%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -2.20%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.64%E -7.76%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-27 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.64%E -7.76%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -11.64%E -7.76%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.26%EV -6.93%E -4.39%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.00%EV -5.28%E -0.574%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.81%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -13.76%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.57%EV -12.23%E -8.21%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.27%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.47%EV -9.29%E -6.03%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 10.35%EV -11.98%E -1.40%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-27 17:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.06% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.58% | 15.3% | 2026-03-27 17:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |