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MT Melsungen v Frisch Auf Göppingen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MT Melsungen (主队)
预测 70.42%1.42公平赔率
EV -7.04%
优势 -5.34%
Kelly -22.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.32
博彩公司预测分布
68.92%70.51%70.32%73.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.301.301.3280.00%77.03%76.92%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)
预测 20.91%4.78公平赔率
EV +4.56%
优势 +0.912%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.052%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.77%20.66%20.93%21.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.404.355.0025.00%22.71%22.99%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.67%11.54公平赔率
EV +4.00%
优势 +0.334%
Kelly +0.364%
增长率 +0.015%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.87%8.83%8.75%10.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.009.849.5012.0011.11%10.16%10.53%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MT Melsungen (主队)：70.42%；Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)：20.91%；平局：8.67%。 对于“Frisch Auf Göppingen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.78。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.00，对应+4.56%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.23%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV +4.56%E +0.912%K +1.14%G +0.052% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.00%E +0.334%K +0.364%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -11.97%E -9.58%K -47.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -0.668%E -0.141%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -22.00%E -2.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -11.97%E -9.58%K -47.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -0.668%E -0.141%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -22.00%E -2.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.64%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -13.33%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -22.00%E -2.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -22.00%E -2.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.16%E -7.10%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -22.00%E -2.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.58%EV -7.75%E -5.91%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.66%E -0.424%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.66%E -0.424%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.45%E -6.50%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.66%E -0.424%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.04%E -5.34%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -17.66%E -1.86%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.06%EV -7.75%E -5.91%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -9.00%E -0.857%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.24%EV -7.75%E -5.91%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -4.66%E -0.424%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 05:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.92%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.26%E -3.48%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -22.00%E -2.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.12%EV -9.86%E -7.70%K -35.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.85%EV -15.31%E -3.78%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.03%EV -15.06%E -1.54%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.57%E -8.32%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -16.35%E -4.09%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -13.33%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-02 13:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.25% | 15.0% | 2026-09-02 13:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |