语言:简体中文
HSV Hamburg v THW Kiel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HSV Hamburg (主队)
预测 30.17%3.31公平赔率
EV -3.45%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
28.59%30.50%29.89%33.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.992.953.2035.71%33.47%33.90%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
THW Kiel (客队)
预测 59.97%1.67公平赔率
EV +1.94%
优势 +1.14%
Kelly +2.78%
增长率 +0.054%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
55.93%59.58%60.26%61.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.511.7069.44%64.94%66.23%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.86%10.14公平赔率
EV -6.32%
优势 -0.666%
Kelly -0.744%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 9.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.62%9.92%9.84%10.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.828.509.5012.50%11.34%11.76%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：30.17%；THW Kiel (客队)：59.97%；平局：9.86%。 对于“THW Kiel (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.67。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.70，对应+1.94%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.93%EV +1.94%E +1.14%K +2.78%G +0.054% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.11%EV -7.31%E -0.778%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.41%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.97%EV -9.28%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.88%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -6.32%E -0.666%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 10:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.87%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -21.11%E -2.64%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 07:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -6.32%E -0.666%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 10:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.91%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -6.32%E -0.666%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 10:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.59%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -11.25%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.66%EV -7.31%E -0.778%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 10:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.66%EV -7.31%E -0.778%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.65%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.65%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.65%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.06%EV -11.30%E -3.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.12%EV -11.85%E -8.06%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.82%EV -11.25%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-12 12:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.30%EV -14.01%E -4.92%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.55%EV -13.05%E -9.00%K -28.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.16%EV -16.18%E -1.90%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.56%EV -13.65%E -9.48%K -31.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -11.25%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.56%EV -13.65%E -9.48%K -31.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.85%EV -11.25%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 09:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.26% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.68% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.06% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 10:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 10:55 |