赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

HSV Hamburg v HSG Wetzlar

开赛时间： 2026-09-27 16:00 UTC

最终结果： HSV Hamburg 37–32 HSG Wetzlar

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSV Hamburg (主队)

预测 57.87%1.73公平赔率
EV -6.25%
优势 -3.86%
Kelly -10.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
56.59%58.24%57.86%62.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.571.581.6265.79%63.51%63.29%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

HSG Wetzlar (客队)

预测 31.06%3.22公平赔率
EV +4.05%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.72%
增长率 +0.070%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
28.20%30.95%31.03%33.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.912.903.3536.36%34.40%34.48%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.07%9.03公平赔率
EV +8.50%
优势 +0.868%
Kelly +0.966%
增长率 +0.082%

假设最高赔率为 9.80

博彩公司预测分布
9.64%10.81%11.10%12.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.148.009.8014.29%12.29%12.50%10.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSV Hamburg (主队)：57.87%；HSG Wetzlar (客队)：31.06%；平局：11.07%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.03。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.80，对应+8.50%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.16%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV +4.05%E +1.21%K +1.72%G +0.070%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.64%EV +8.50%E +0.868%K +0.966%G +0.082%5.8%2026-09-27 08:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.59%EV -6.25%E -3.86%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.07%EV +0.754%E +0.083%K +0.093%G +0.001%9.1%2026-09-27 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -5.89%E -0.693%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 13:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.39%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -5.89%E -0.693%K -0.785%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-27 13:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.02%EV -8.57%E -5.42%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.87%EV -7.75%E -2.61%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -8.66%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -10.30%E -6.65%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.72%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -9.21%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-27 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:05
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:05
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:05
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.09%EV -7.41%E -4.63%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 08:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-27 12:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-27 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-27 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -9.15%E -5.83%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.59%E -5.30%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-27 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.39%EV -10.88%E -7.07%K -20.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.56%EV -13.03%E -4.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -11.43%E -1.43%K -1.63%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-27 08:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.76%EV -11.46%E -7.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.12%EV -11.79%E -4.15%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.12%EV -11.98%E -1.51%K -1.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-27 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.50%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.22%EV -13.03%E -4.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -14.19%E -1.83%K -2.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-27 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.43%EV -12.04%E -7.92%K -23.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.10%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.47%EV -22.50%E -3.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-27 15:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 57.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.38%15.6%2026-09-27 13:20

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-09-27 14:55