默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar v TVB Stuttgart

开赛时间: 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar (主队)

预测 38.14%2.62公平赔率
EV +3.74%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +2.18%
增长率 +0.082%

假设最高赔率为 2.72

博彩公司预测分布
35.02%37.82%38.14%39.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.282.392.382.7243.86%41.83%42.02%36.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

TVB Stuttgart (客队)

预测 49.92%2.00公平赔率
EV -6.65%
优势 -3.55%
Kelly -7.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
49.30%50.51%49.87%54.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.831.831.8757.47%54.76%54.64%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.94%8.38公平赔率
EV +11.02%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.146%

假设最高赔率为 9.30

博彩公司预测分布
10.24%11.67%11.99%12.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.757.759.3014.29%12.91%12.90%10.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:HSG Wetzlar (主队):38.14%;TVB Stuttgart (客队):49.92%;平局:11.94%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.38。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.30,对应+11.02%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.02%EV +3.74%E +1.38%K +2.18%G +0.082%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -13.14%E -7.55%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.24%EV +11.02%E +1.18%K +1.33%G +0.146%5.0%2026-04-02 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -11.13%E -4.78%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV +3.86%E +0.443%K +0.501%G +0.019%9.1%2026-04-02 16:35
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -6.65%E -3.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -10.14%E -5.63%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -4.50%E -0.563%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -7.15%E -3.84%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -7.48%E -0.966%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.98%EV -9.28%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 17:49
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.98%EV -9.28%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.65%E -4.13%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -10.47%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 17:49
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.14%E -5.63%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.47%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.14%E -5.63%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.47%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -9.22%E -3.88%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.14%E -5.63%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.47%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.69%EV -13.04%E -5.72%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -11.14%E -6.26%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.47%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-02 06:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.19%EV -11.51%E -4.96%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.50%EV -10.64%E -5.94%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.31%EV -14.05%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-02 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -8.64%E -4.72%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -16.44%E -2.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -12.64%E -7.22%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -16.44%E -2.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-01 17:49
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -12.64%E -7.22%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -16.44%E -2.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-01 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.30%EV -11.14%E -6.26%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -16.44%E -2.35%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 05:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 38.36%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.26%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.38%15.4%2026-04-01 17:50

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%5.4%2026-04-02 15:55