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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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HSG Wetzlar v ThSV Eisenach

开赛时间： 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC

最终结果： HSG Wetzlar 31–31 ThSV Eisenach

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar (主队)

预测 52.88%1.89公平赔率
EV -3.76%
优势 -2.07%
Kelly -4.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布
50.15%53.00%52.92%55.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.761.751.8260.24%56.80%57.14%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

ThSV Eisenach (客队)

预测 35.62%2.81公平赔率
EV -2.05%
优势 -0.745%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
33.44%35.63%35.58%38.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.502.502.7543.48%40.02%40.00%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.50%8.69公平赔率
EV +4.67%
优势 +0.514%
Kelly +0.577%
增长率 +0.027%

假设最高赔率为 9.10

博彩公司预测分布
10.37%11.37%11.51%12.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.258.128.359.1013.79%12.31%11.98%10.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSG Wetzlar (主队)：52.88%；ThSV Eisenach (客队)：35.62%；平局：11.50%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.69。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.10，对应+4.67%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.16%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.46%EV -10.24%E -4.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.37%EV +4.67%E +0.514%K +0.577%G +0.027%5.9%2026-09-07 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.25%EV -9.88%E -3.91%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV +1.22%E +0.139%K +0.157%G +0.002%9.0%2026-09-07 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -3.76%E -2.07%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -6.32%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.18%EV -3.95%E -0.473%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 16:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -6.32%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.18%EV -3.95%E -0.473%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.36%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -5.61%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -7.39%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.07%EV -11.69%E -7.00%K -17.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.44%EV -2.05%E -0.745%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -8.52%E -4.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.39%E -2.84%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.88%EV -8.52%E -4.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.68%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 16:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.52%E -4.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -10.95%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.52%E -4.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -10.95%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.52%E -4.92%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.99%EV -10.95%E -4.38%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -11.16%E -6.65%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 35.53%EV -11.31%E -4.54%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.15%EV -18.08%E -7.86%K -13.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.45%EV -12.22%E -7.36%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -12.73%E -5.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.01%EV -16.61%E -2.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-07 16:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.48%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.49%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.03%15.5%2026-09-07 16:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%5.5%2026-09-07 16:05