默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar v MT Melsungen

开赛时间: 2026-03-08 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar (主队)

预测 29.02%3.45公平赔率
EV +1.56%
优势 +0.444%
Kelly +0.622%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.45%28.70%29.28%29.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.213.253.5033.90%31.18%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

MT Melsungen (客队)

预测 61.04%1.64公平赔率
EV -6.00%
优势 -3.90%
Kelly -11.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
59.84%61.21%60.85%62.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.491.491.5469.44%67.29%67.11%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 9.94%10.06公平赔率
EV -5.53%
优势 -0.582%
Kelly -0.650%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.67%10.09%9.86%11.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.969.009.5012.50%11.16%11.11%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:HSG Wetzlar (主队):29.02%;MT Melsungen (客队):61.04%;平局:9.94%。 对于“HSG Wetzlar (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.45。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.50,对应+1.56%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV +1.56%E +0.444%K +0.622%G +0.010%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.27%E -6.99%K -21.85%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.58%EV -12.99%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:00
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:00
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:59
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:59
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.84%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -10.27%E -6.99%K -21.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -5.53%E -0.582%K -0.650%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:15
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -12.10%E -8.40%K -27.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -20.44%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -12.10%E -8.40%K -27.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -20.44%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -12.10%E -8.40%K -27.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -20.44%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -5.53%E -0.582%K -0.650%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.57%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.76%EV -6.52%E -0.694%K -0.776%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:19
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.15%EV -8.44%E -5.63%K -16.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.88%EV -7.22%E -4.75%K -13.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -5.53%E -0.582%K -0.650%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.69%EV -7.83%E -5.19%K -15.35%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.75%EV -6.52%E -0.694%K -0.776%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.43%EV -8.44%E -5.63%K -16.88%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.85%EV -8.51%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 15:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.43%EV -8.44%E -5.63%K -16.88%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.85%EV -8.51%E -0.925%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 29.70%EV -12.08%E -3.99%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.41%EV -9.05%E -6.07%K -18.47%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 9.89%EV -9.50%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.95%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.66%E -6.53%K -20.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.95%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.66%E -6.53%K -20.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -10.50%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.82%EV -14.40%E -4.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.84%EV -10.27%E -6.99%K -21.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -15.47%E -1.82%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 15:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 30.04%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.66%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.30%15.6%2026-03-08 15:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 14.90%1.45I 68.97%NM 34.94%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.16%97.4%2026-03-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 14.90%1.45I 68.97%NM 34.94%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.16%97.4%2026-03-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 14.90%1.45I 68.97%NM 34.94%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.16%97.4%2026-03-08 15:20

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%6.1%2026-03-08 15:00