默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar v Bergischer HC

开赛时间： 2026-04-26 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

56%

33%

11%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HSG Wetzlar (主队)

预测 55.59%1.80公平赔率

EV -5.50%

优势 -3.24%

Kelly -7.86%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布

53.19%55.55%55.69%56.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.561.651.671.7064.10%60.45%59.88%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bergischer HC (客队)

预测 32.94%3.04公平赔率

EV -7.45%

优势 -2.65%

Kelly -4.11%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.81

博彩公司预测分布

32.02%32.93%32.99%35.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.502.692.672.8140.00%37.23%37.45%35.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.48%8.71公平赔率

EV +3.28%

优势 +0.365%

Kelly +0.410%

增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布

10.25%11.53%11.31%12.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

7.508.308.209.0013.33%12.04%12.20%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HSG Wetzlar (主队)：55.59%；Bergischer HC (客队)：32.94%；平局：11.48%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.71。当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+3.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队	平局 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 17:35
Casumo🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 17:34
Grosvenor🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 17:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-20 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +3.28%E +0.365%K +0.410%G +0.013%	8.4%	2026-04-21 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -8.84%E -5.39%K -13.81%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -2.46%E -0.289%K -0.327%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-04-24 00:09
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.97%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%	8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -5.90%E -0.719%K -0.819%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-04-24 00:54
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.97%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%	8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -5.90%E -0.719%K -0.819%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-04-24 00:55
Codere (IT)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.97%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%	8.20I 12.20%NM 11.06%EV -5.90%E -0.719%K -0.819%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-04-24 00:55
Coolbet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.40%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -8.19%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-24 03:34
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -8.19%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-04-23 13:08
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.82%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -8.19%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-04-24 00:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 55.66%EV -11.62%E -7.31%K -19.69%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 33.14%EV -12.06%E -4.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.90I 12.66%NM 11.20%EV -9.34%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-04-24 00:54
Marathon Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.04%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 32.71%EV -7.45%E -2.65%K -4.11%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -13.93%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-04-24 02:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.79%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -13.93%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-04-23 11:19
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -11.06%E -6.91%K -18.43%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -13.93%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-04-21 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -11.06%E -6.91%K -18.43%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -7.78%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -13.93%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-04-21 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.19%EV -8.28%E -5.02%K -12.74%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -17.66%E -7.06%K -11.77%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -13.93%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-04-20 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 55.31%EV -13.28%E -8.52%K -23.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.19%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.50%EV -13.93%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-04-24 00:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。