默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HC Erlangen v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

开赛时间: 2026-09-02 17:01 UTC

最终结果: HC Erlangen 28–28 TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HC Erlangen (主队)

预测 28.39%3.52公平赔率
EV -4.88%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
27.11%28.36%28.46%29.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.243.303.3534.48%30.84%30.30%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队)

预测 61.47%1.63公平赔率
EV -6.57%
优势 -4.32%
Kelly -12.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
59.86%61.38%61.59%63.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.471.471.5270.42%68.01%68.03%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.14%9.86公平赔率
EV +1.38%
优势 +0.138%
Kelly +0.153%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.27%10.26%9.94%11.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.169.4010.0012.50%10.92%10.64%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:HC Erlangen (主队):28.39%;TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队):61.47%;平局:10.14%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.86。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为10.00,对应+1.38%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:39
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:39
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:40
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +1.38%E +0.138%K +0.153%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-31 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -3.69%E -0.389%K -0.435%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -3.69%E -0.389%K -0.435%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 06:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.49%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -3.69%E -0.389%K -0.435%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 06:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.57%EV -8.41%E -5.65%K -17.17%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.76%EV -4.71%E -0.501%K -0.560%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 03:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.76%EV -4.71%E -0.501%K -0.560%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.15%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.76%E -0.974%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 06:38
Betclic (FR)🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 29.64%EV -15.10%E -5.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -9.64%E -6.56%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.07%EV -10.79%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 16:49
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.00%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -13.83%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -10.56%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.81%EV -12.72%E -8.95%K -30.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -13.83%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.93%EV -17.66%E -6.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.86%EV -10.87%E -7.50%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.21%EV -13.83%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-01 06:40
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.70%EV -10.87%E -7.50%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -18.90%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.70%EV -10.87%E -7.50%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -18.90%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.35%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -18.90%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.35%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -18.90%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -9.14%E -2.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.35%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -18.90%E -2.36%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 09:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.79%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.32%15.4%2026-09-01 06:40

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.13%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.87%6.0%2026-09-02 15:20