默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HC Erlangen v Bergischer HC

开赛时间: 2026-05-29 17:00 UTC

最终结果: HC Erlangen 26–32 Bergischer HC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

HC Erlangen (主队)

预测 56.69%1.76公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -1.45%
Kelly -3.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
55.07%56.73%56.68%58.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.611.611.7264.10%62.19%62.11%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bergischer HC (客队)

预测 32.35%3.09公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -0.982%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
30.64%32.43%32.39%34.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.802.853.0038.17%35.66%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.96%9.13公平赔率
EV +1.90%
优势 +0.205%
Kelly +0.229%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 9.30

博彩公司预测分布
10.06%10.84%10.93%11.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.758.348.509.3012.90%11.99%11.76%10.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:HC Erlangen (主队):56.69%;Bergischer HC (客队):32.35%;平局:10.96%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.13。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.30,对应+1.90%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +1.90%E +0.205%K +0.229%G +0.004%5.3%2026-05-29 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.88%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.06%EV -10.39%E -3.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.06%EV -0.288%E -0.032%K -0.036%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.17%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.17%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 11:38
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.70%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -2.95%E -0.982%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -6.86%E -0.807%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 05:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.93%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.91%EV -7.96%E -0.947%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 11:39
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.61%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.05%EV -10.15%E -1.24%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.61%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.05%EV -10.15%E -1.24%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 12:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-29 05:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 13:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.59%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-29 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.07%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.84%EV -15.24%E -5.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-29 04:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.07%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.84%EV -15.24%E -5.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-29 04:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.41%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -12.34%E -1.54%K -1.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.38%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.42%EV -11.68%E -4.28%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.20%EV -13.44%E -1.70%K -1.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-29 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.21%EV -11.56%E -7.41%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.31%EV -15.08%E -1.95%K -2.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 11:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 55.97%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.61%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.42%15.3%2026-05-29 12:50

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%5.8%2026-05-29 11:40