Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.70
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: GWD Minden (Casa): 38.94%; HSG Wetzlar (Trasferta): 49.01%; Pareggio: 12.05%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.30. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 8.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.86%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.88%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV +4.86%E +0.559%K +0.631%G +0.031% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.26%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.13%EV -3.45%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.26%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.13%EV -3.45%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.26%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.13%EV -3.45%E -1.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.81%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.26%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.87%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.64%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.57%E -0.447%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.97%EV -6.59%E -0.850%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.50%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.98%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.05%EV -8.40%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.07%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.98%EV -8.40%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.07%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.98%EV -8.40%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -9.60%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.10%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.06%EV -12.61%E -1.74%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.13%EV -12.00%E -5.31%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -10.80%E -5.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.28%EV -13.22%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -15.63%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.67%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.63%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.67%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.63%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.67%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -15.63%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -15.63%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -15.63%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 09:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.00% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.37% | 15.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 21.30% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 29.01% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 49.69% | 86.3% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 21.30% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 29.01% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 49.69% | 86.3% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 21.30% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 29.01% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 49.69% | 86.3% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |