默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bergischer HC v TVB Stuttgart

开赛时间: 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC

最终结果: Bergischer HC 25–25 TVB Stuttgart

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bergischer HC (主队)

预测 46.55%2.15公平赔率
EV -4.58%
优势 -2.23%
Kelly -4.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.31%46.57%46.61%47.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.971.982.0553.19%50.73%50.51%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

TVB Stuttgart (客队)

预测 41.79%2.39公平赔率
EV -5.97%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -4.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
40.55%41.83%41.72%42.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.172.182.2548.08%46.06%45.87%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.66%8.57公平赔率
EV +4.97%
优势 +0.552%
Kelly +0.621%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.43%11.60%11.67%12.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.768.009.0014.29%12.89%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bergischer HC (主队):46.55%;TVB Stuttgart (客队):41.79%;平局:11.66%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.57。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.00,对应+4.97%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.49%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.23%E -3.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.59%EV +4.97%E +0.552%K +0.621%G +0.031%4.9%2026-04-12 09:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.29%EV -9.70%E -5.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.28%EV -9.32%E -4.29%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.43%EV +2.64%E +0.300%K +0.338%G +0.009%9.0%2026-04-11 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.00%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.79%EV -10.15%E -4.72%K -8.83%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.22%EV -4.36%E -0.532%K -0.606%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:19
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:20
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:19
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.89%EV -5.98%E -2.96%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 08:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.57%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -6.69%E -0.837%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 14:25
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.76%EV -9.70%E -5.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.61%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.63%EV -9.03%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.76%EV -9.70%E -5.00%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.61%EV -8.90%E -4.08%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.63%EV -9.03%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.24%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -12.53%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.90%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -12.53%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.89%EV -10.63%E -5.54%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.36%EV -13.08%E -6.29%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -12.53%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 08:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -12.49%E -6.64%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.72%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV -12.53%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.55%EV -10.99%E -5.16%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.12%EV -14.86%E -2.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-12 14:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -18.36%E -2.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -18.36%E -2.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -18.36%E -2.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -18.36%E -2.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-09 15:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.24%E -5.83%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -18.36%E -2.62%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-09 15:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.38%15.4%2026-04-11 15:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%5.6%2026-04-10 07:10