默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bergischer HC v TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

开赛时间: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Bergischer HC 30–29 TSV Hannover-Burgdorf

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bergischer HC (主队)

预测 29.94%3.34公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.367%
Kelly -0.527%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
27.17%30.13%29.82%32.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.043.053.3035.09%32.86%32.79%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队)

预测 59.22%1.69公平赔率
EV -5.84%
优势 -3.67%
Kelly -9.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
57.65%59.08%59.35%62.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.531.541.5969.44%65.39%64.72%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.84%9.22公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -0.269%
Kelly -0.302%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.19%10.79%10.83%11.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.008.578.509.0012.50%11.66%11.76%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bergischer HC (主队):29.94%;TSV Hannover-Burgdorf (客队):59.22%;平局:10.84%。 对于“Bergischer HC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.30,期望值为-1.21%,未产生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -14.72%E -10.22%K -33.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -14.72%E -10.22%K -33.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -9.98%E -6.57%K -19.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.93%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 05:05
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.29%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.44%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 05:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.67%EV -8.80%E -5.71%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.69%EV -6.75%E -0.785%K -0.889%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 05:10
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.35%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -13.26%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 05:10
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.51%EV -8.21%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.82%EV -8.92%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 05:11
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.70%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.82%EV -8.92%E -1.06%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 05:11
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 29.40%EV -12.29%E -4.19%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.83%EV -14.72%E -10.22%K -33.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.77%EV -13.26%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-02 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.20%EV -11.76%E -7.89%K -24.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.38%EV -7.84%E -0.922%K -1.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 09:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.66%EV -11.17%E -7.45%K -22.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -13.26%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 05:05
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -13.78%E -4.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -13.26%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -13.78%E -4.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -13.26%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -13.78%E -4.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -13.26%E -1.66%K -1.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.65%EV -5.84%E -3.67%K -9.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -2.42%E -0.269%K -0.302%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 15:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 30.43%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.41%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.16%14.9%2026-05-02 05:11

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%5.8%2026-05-02 16:15