Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Inizio: 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

33 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa)

Previsione 38.92%2.57quota equa
EV +0.415%
Vantaggio +0.161%
Kelly +0.262%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.03%39.01%38.93%41.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.392.402.5845.45%41.77%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.08%1.64quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.61%60.99%61.07%62.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.551.551.6168.97%64.42%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa): 38.92%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Trasferta): 61.08%. Per Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.57. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.58, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.415%.

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV +0.415%E +0.161%K +0.262%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-04 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.53%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.53%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 08:40
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -1.92%E -0.762%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 08:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.59%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 08:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.21%E -6.95%K -21.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 08:45
BetUS🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.72%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-04 08:55
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.87%E -1.57%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 08:55
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.26%E -1.73%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.88%E -1.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-04 08:39
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 08:45
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 08:45
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.42%E -2.23%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 08:50
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 08:50
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 08:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 08:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 08:55
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.72%E -3.02%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 08:55
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.55%E -4.28%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 08:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 02:30
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 08:50
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 08:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.26%E -4.94%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.66%E -1.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 08:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.43%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.10%E -2.61%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 02:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -13.21%E -5.92%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -10.21%E -6.95%K -21.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-04 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -14.38%E -6.53%K -11.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -11.43%E -7.89%K -25.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-04 08:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.