Date: 2026-04-12
Consensus probability analysis for Chelsea v Manchester City across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +1.77% on Manchester City (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 2.95 | +33.35% | +0.000% | -1.61% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 2.45 | +41.54% | +0.022% | +1.77% |
| Draw | 4.00 | +24.86% | +0.000% | -0.552% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.286% (20 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | Betsson | 2.95 | 34.0% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | Unibet (SE) | 2.45 | 40.9% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 4.00 | 25.1% |