Date: 2026-06-15
Consensus probability analysis for Ilia Topuria v Justin Gaethje across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +10.38% on Justin Gaethje (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilia Topuria (Local) | 1.21 | +80.62% | +0.000% | -2.45% |
| Justin Gaethje (Visit) | 5.80 | +19.03% | +0.225% | +10.38% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.114% (2 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilia Topuria (Local) | Marathon Bet | 1.21 | 82.7% |
| Justin Gaethje (Visit) | Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.80 | 17.3% |