Date: 2026-02-28
Consensus probability analysis for Toluca v Guadalajara across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +6.85% on Guadalajara (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca (Local) | 2.08 | +47.04% | +0.000% | -2.16% |
| Guadalajara (Visit) | 4.45 | +24.01% | +0.136% | +6.85% |
| Draw | 3.60 | +28.03% | +0.003% | +0.890% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.70% (102 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca (Local) | NordicBet | 2.08 | 48.9% |
| Guadalajara (Visit) | LowVig.ag | 4.45 | 22.9% |
| Draw | ATG (SE) | 3.60 | 28.3% |