Date: 2026-03-11
Consensus probability analysis for Real Madrid v Manchester City across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.42% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 2.96 | +33.78% | +0.000% | -0.019% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 2.47 | +39.87% | +0.000% | -1.52% |
| Draw | 3.90 | +26.26% | +0.020% | +2.42% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.089% (4 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1xBet | 2.96 | 33.8% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 1xBet | 2.47 | 40.5% |
| Draw | Unibet (NL) | 3.90 | 25.7% |