Date: 2026-04-15
Consensus probability analysis for Santos v Recoleta FC across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +13.83% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (Local) | 1.35 | +71.31% | +0.000% | -3.74% |
| Recoleta FC (Visit) | 14.00 | +6.80% | +0.000% | -4.87% |
| Draw | 5.50 | +20.70% | +0.425% | +13.83% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.605% (3 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (Local) | NordicBet | 1.35 | 74.5% |
| Recoleta FC (Visit) | Coolbet | 14.00 | 7.2% |
| Draw | ATG (SE) | 5.50 | 18.3% |