Date: 2026-04-18
Consensus probability analysis for Mark Vologdin v John Castaneda across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +4.61% on Mark Vologdin (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vologdin (Local) | 1.98 | +52.83% | +0.217% | +4.61% |
| John Castaneda (Visit) | 2.10 | +45.77% | +0.000% | -3.89% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.91% (3 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Vologdin (Local) | PlayUp | 1.98 | 51.5% |
| John Castaneda (Visit) | BetOnline.ag | 2.10 | 48.5% |