Date: 2026-04-21
Consensus probability analysis for Real Madrid v Alavés across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +26.12% on Alavés (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1.33 | +73.65% | +0.000% | -2.04% |
| Alavés (Visit) | 13.00 | +9.70% | +0.569% | +26.12% |
| Draw | 6.25 | +16.24% | +0.004% | +1.50% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.13% (27 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1xBet | 1.33 | 76.0% |
| Alavés (Visit) | SportsBet | 13.00 | 7.8% |
| Draw | BetOnline.ag | 6.25 | 16.2% |