Date: 2026-04-21
Consensus probability analysis for Real Madrid v Alavés across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +6.08% on Alavés (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1.36 | +72.49% | +0.000% | -1.42% |
| Alavés (Visit) | 10.50 | +10.10% | +0.039% | +6.08% |
| Draw | 6.20 | +16.81% | +0.034% | +4.21% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.824% (9 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid (Local) | 1xBet | 1.36 | 74.1% |
| Alavés (Visit) | Betr (AU) | 10.50 | 9.6% |
| Draw | Tipico (DE) | 6.20 | 16.3% |