语言:简体中文
South Africa v Australia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 26.61%3.76公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.416%
Kelly -0.570%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.34%26.61%26.62%27.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.513.503.7029.41%28.53%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
Australia (客队)
预测 65.92%1.52公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -3.05%
Kelly -9.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
64.33%65.92%65.61%67.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.441.4573.53%70.45%69.69%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 7.47%13.38公平赔率
EV +4.63%
优势 +0.331%
Kelly +0.356%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 14.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.54%7.47%7.76%8.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0012.0012.0014.009.09%8.33%8.33%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：26.61%；Australia (客队)：65.92%；平局：7.47%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.38。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为14.00，对应+4.63%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.35%E -7.61%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +4.63%E +0.331%K +0.356%G +0.016% | 9.2% | 2026-10-30 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -10.35%E -7.61%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -2.85%E -0.219%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-30 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.10%EV -7.72%E -5.51%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.51%EV -6.58%E -0.527%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-30 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.42%E -3.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.42%E -3.05%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.61%EV -6.40%E -4.51%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.10%EV -6.40%E -4.51%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-30 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.72%E -5.51%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-30 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.06%EV -10.35%E -7.61%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.60%EV -10.32%E -0.860%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-30 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.40%E -4.51%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -14.06%E -1.22%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-30 08:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -14.06%E -1.22%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.83%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -14.06%E -1.22%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.33%EV -5.08%E -3.53%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -17.79%E -1.62%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.49%EV -5.74%E -4.01%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -17.79%E -1.62%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-29 16:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18% | 1.2% | 2026-10-30 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18% | 1.2% | 2026-10-30 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18% | 1.2% | 2026-10-30 08:25 |