Date: 2026-04-25
Consensus probability analysis for Tondela v Nacional across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +4.90% on Tondela (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela (Local) | 2.80 | +37.47% | +0.134% | +4.90% |
| Nacional (Visit) | 2.88 | +33.67% | +0.000% | -3.03% |
| Draw | 3.50 | +28.31% | +0.000% | -0.912% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.00% (158 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela (Local) | Casumo | 2.80 | 36.1% |
| Nacional (Visit) | 1xBet | 2.88 | 35.1% |
| Draw | Coolbet | 3.50 | 28.9% |