默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pakistan v Sri Lanka

开赛时间： 2026-10-27 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

62%

38%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pakistan (主队)

预测 61.92%1.61公平赔率

EV -2.78%

优势 -1.77%

Kelly -4.88%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布

60.45%61.74%62.03%67.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.421.511.501.5770.42%66.40%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sri Lanka (客队)

预测 38.08%2.63公平赔率

EV +10.43%

优势 +3.60%

Kelly +5.49%

增长率 +0.573%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布

32.87%38.26%37.97%39.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.402.552.502.9041.67%39.21%40.00%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pakistan (主队)：61.92%；Sri Lanka (客队)：38.08%。对于“Sri Lanka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.90，对应+10.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
PlayUp🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -12.07%E -8.50%K -28.74%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +10.43%E +3.60%K +5.49%G +0.573%	4.9%	2026-10-27 07:50
TAB🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.910%E +0.343%K +0.552%G +0.005%	5.3%	2026-10-27 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
TABtouch🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
Casumo🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
Grosvenor🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
Unibet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +0.148%E +0.056%K +0.091%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 07:45
SportsBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-27 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:50
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:35
Sky Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:35
Bet Right🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:50
NordicBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 07:45
Betsson🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 07:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-27 07:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-27 07:45
Neds🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-27 07:50
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-27 07:35
betano_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-27 07:32
Bet Victor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-27 07:53

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-10-27 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-10-27 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-10-27 07:55

Pakistan v Sri Lanka

胜负盘

Pakistan (主队)

Sri Lanka (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (3)

博彩交易所 (3)