Date: 2026-04-11
Consensus probability analysis for Essendon Bombers v Melbourne Demons across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +6.39% on Essendon Bombers (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essendon Bombers (Local) | 4.50 | +23.64% | +0.117% | +6.39% |
| Melbourne Demons (Visit) | 1.29 | +76.19% | +0.000% | -1.71% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.259% (1 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Essendon Bombers (Local) | Tipico (DE) | 4.50 | 22.3% |
| Melbourne Demons (Visit) | Paddy Power | 1.29 | 77.7% |