Date: 2026-04-19
Consensus probability analysis for Arouca v CF Estrela across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +6.97% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca (Local) | 2.18 | +46.02% | +0.001% | +0.321% |
| CF Estrela (Visit) | 4.54 | +23.32% | +0.097% | +5.87% |
| Draw | 3.50 | +30.56% | +0.195% | +6.97% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +3.66% (618 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca (Local) | Betsson | 2.18 | 47.6% |
| CF Estrela (Visit) | Pinnacle | 4.54 | 22.8% |
| Draw | Casumo | 3.50 | 29.6% |