Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gamba Osaka v Vissel Kobe

Início: 2026-09-20 08:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gamba Osaka (Local)

Previsão 26.66%3.75odd justa
EV +7.99%
Vantagem +1.97%
Kelly +2.62%
Crescimento +0.209%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.49%26.65%26.69%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.463.454.0530.77%28.89%28.99%24.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vissel Kobe (Visitante)

Previsão 46.25%2.16odd justa
EV -4.26%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.59%46.28%46.14%48.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.991.972.0752.63%50.35%50.76%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.09%3.69odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.463%
Kelly -0.639%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%27.07%27.18%28.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.393.403.6330.77%29.47%29.41%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gamba Osaka (Local): 26.66%; Vissel Kobe (Visitante): 46.25%; Empate: 27.09%. Para Gamba Osaka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.75. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.99%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49%EV +7.99%E +1.97%K +2.62%G +0.209%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -9.54%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 07:54
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -3.48%E -0.960%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.68%EV -4.26%E -2.06%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -1.68%E -0.463%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 07:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 07:44
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 07:54
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -12.12%E -6.38%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 07:49
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 07:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 07:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 07:10
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 07:54
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 07:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 07:39
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.12%EV -6.11%E -3.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 07:54
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 07:49
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.89%E -4.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.89%E -4.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.79%EV -6.11%E -3.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 07:44
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:39
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:44
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.89%E -4.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:09
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:10
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:09
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:09
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 07:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 07:10
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 07:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 07:39
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.89%E -4.51%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 07:54
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 07:39
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 07:55
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 07:55
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -12.12%E -6.38%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 07:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 07:43
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:54
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 07:55
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 07:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 07:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-09-20 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-09-20 07:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-09-20 07:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-09-20 07:49
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-09-20 07:49
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-09-20 07:29