Date: 2026-04-19
Consensus probability analysis for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +6.89% on Sporting Lisbon (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon (Local) | 2.43 | +43.99% | +0.332% | +6.89% |
| Benfica (Visit) | 3.33 | +29.30% | +0.000% | -2.42% |
| Draw | 3.75 | +26.05% | +0.000% | -2.33% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +2.20% (674 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon (Local) | Svenska Spel | 2.43 | 42.1% |
| Benfica (Visit) | 1xBet | 3.33 | 30.7% |
| Draw | Coolbet | 3.75 | 27.3% |