Date: 2026-03-28
Consensus probability analysis for Alex Murphy v Josh Holmes across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +3.99% on Josh Holmes (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Murphy (Local) | 1.93 | +52.31% | +0.010% | +0.965% |
| Josh Holmes (Visit) | 2.20 | +47.27% | +0.133% | +3.99% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +2.81% (5 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Murphy (Local) | Pinnacle | 1.93 | 53.3% |
| Josh Holmes (Visit) | DraftKings | 2.20 | 46.7% |