Date: 2026-03-19
Consensus probability analysis for Shakhtar Donetsk v Lech Poznań across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +11.79% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk (Local) | 2.05 | +47.59% | +0.000% | -2.44% |
| Lech Poznań (Visit) | 3.90 | +26.24% | +0.019% | +2.35% |
| Draw | 4.30 | +26.00% | +0.421% | +11.79% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +2.38% (138 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk (Local) | 1xBet | 2.05 | 49.9% |
| Lech Poznań (Visit) | Unibet (NL) | 3.90 | 26.3% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 4.30 | 23.8% |