Date: 2026-04-18
Consensus probability analysis for Chelsea v Manchester United across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +4.17% on Manchester United (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 2.31 | +42.47% | +0.000% | -1.88% |
| Manchester United (Visit) | 3.43 | +30.37% | +0.072% | +4.17% |
| Draw | 3.90 | +26.20% | +0.016% | +2.18% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.95% (110 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 1xBet | 2.31 | 44.1% |
| Manchester United (Visit) | Pinnacle | 3.43 | 29.7% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 3.90 | 26.1% |