Date: 2026-05-17
Consensus probability analysis for Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +5.43% on Celta Vigo (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao (Local) | 2.38 | +42.36% | +0.005% | +0.806% |
| Celta Vigo (Visit) | 3.96 | +26.62% | +0.099% | +5.43% |
| Draw | 3.25 | +30.75% | +0.000% | -0.051% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +2.00% (168 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao (Local) | NordicBet | 2.38 | 42.9% |
| Celta Vigo (Visit) | 1xBet | 3.96 | 25.8% |
| Draw | Unibet (NL) | 3.25 | 31.4% |