Date: 2026-05-25
Consensus probability analysis for Botafogo v Athletic Club (MG) across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +7.50% on Botafogo (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (Local) | 2.30 | +46.74% | +0.433% | +7.50% |
| Athletic Club (MG) (Visit) | 4.24 | +23.07% | +0.000% | -2.18% |
| Draw | 3.19 | +30.01% | +0.000% | -4.27% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.61% (39 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (Local) | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30 | 44.2% |
| Athletic Club (MG) (Visit) | Pinnacle | 4.24 | 24.0% |
| Draw | Pinnacle | 3.19 | 31.9% |