Date: 2026-05-03
Consensus probability analysis for Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.58% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | 2.15 | +45.51% | +0.000% | -2.16% |
| Tottenham Hotspur (Visit) | 3.50 | +29.17% | +0.017% | +2.09% |
| Draw | 4.10 | +25.02% | +0.021% | +2.58% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.529% (60 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | 1xBet | 2.15 | 46.8% |
| Tottenham Hotspur (Visit) | Unibet (SE) | 3.50 | 28.7% |
| Draw | Unibet (SE) | 4.10 | 24.5% |