Lingua:Italiano
Manchester City v Real Madrid
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Manchester City (Casa)
Previsione 55.44%1.80quota equa
EV -5.76%
Vantaggio -3.39%
Kelly -8.23%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.15%55.43%55.39%58.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.621.621.7065.79%61.78%61.92%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Real Madrid (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.37%4.47quota equa
EV +6.27%
Vantaggio +1.32%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescita +0.105%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.93%22.38%22.46%24.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.174.204.7527.78%23.96%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 22.19%4.51quota equa
EV +5.19%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.072%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.74
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.71%22.19%22.15%23.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.094.104.7426.32%24.47%24.39%21.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Manchester City (Casa): 55.44%; Real Madrid (Trasferta): 22.37%; Pareggio: 22.19%. Per Real Madrid (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.47. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.27%.
Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV +6.27%E +1.32%K +1.67%G +0.105% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -2.68%E -0.617%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -2.68%E -0.617%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.13%E -0.723%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.47%EV -3.02%E -0.691%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -15.18%E -9.92%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -3.13%E -0.723%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -3.91%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.80%E -0.884%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.80%E -0.884%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 22:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -15.74%E -10.35%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.40%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.46%EV -8.95%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.13%EV -8.35%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -3.91%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-01 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -11.63%E -2.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.32%EV -10.12%E -2.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -11.63%E -2.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.32%EV -10.12%E -2.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -11.63%E -2.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-01 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.55%EV -11.86%E -7.46%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.81%EV -10.12%E -2.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-01 18:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.98%E -4.80%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.71%EV +5.19%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.072% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.30%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -14.99%E -3.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -12.97%E -8.26%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -14.99%E -3.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 54.39%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.42%EV -19.46%E -5.41%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 1.6% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |