Langue:Français
Manchester City v Real Madrid
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Manchester City (Local)
Prévision 55.44%1.80cote équitable
EV -5.76%
Avantage -3.39%
Kelly -8.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.15%55.43%55.39%58.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.621.621.7065.79%61.78%61.92%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Real Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.37%4.47cote équitable
EV +6.27%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.105%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.93%22.38%22.46%24.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.174.204.7527.78%23.96%23.81%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.19%4.51cote équitable
EV +5.19%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 4.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.71%22.19%22.15%23.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.094.104.7426.32%24.47%24.39%21.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Manchester City (Local) : 55.44% ; Real Madrid (Visiteur) : 22.37% ; Match nul : 22.19%. Pour Real Madrid (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.47. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.75, soit une espérance positive de +6.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.06%EV -9.64%E -5.91%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV +6.27%E +1.32%K +1.67%G +0.105% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +2.91%E +0.633%K +0.809%G +0.024% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -2.68%E -0.617%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -2.68%E -0.617%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -3.13%E -0.723%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.47%EV -3.02%E -0.691%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-01 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -15.18%E -9.92%K -28.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -3.13%E -0.723%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -3.91%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.80%E -0.884%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.57%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.80%E -0.884%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 22:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -15.74%E -10.35%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.40%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.46%EV -8.95%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.13%EV -8.35%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -3.91%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-01 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.51%E -2.63%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -11.63%E -2.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.32%EV -10.12%E -2.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -11.63%E -2.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.32%EV -10.12%E -2.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -11.63%E -2.94%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-01 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.55%EV -11.86%E -7.46%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.81%EV -10.12%E -2.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-01 18:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.78%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -12.75%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.98%E -4.80%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -12.97%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.71%EV +5.19%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.072% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.30%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -14.99%E -3.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -12.97%E -8.26%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -14.99%E -3.94%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 54.39%EV -14.07%E -9.08%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.42%EV -19.46%E -5.41%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.19%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 0.8% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 1.6% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |