Date: 2026-05-17
Consensus probability analysis for Nacional v Vitória SC across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +29.72% on Nacional (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional (Local) | 2.65 | +48.95% | +5.35% | +29.72% |
| Vitória SC (Visit) | 3.82 | +25.99% | +0.000% | -0.737% |
| Draw | 4.09 | +23.83% | +0.000% | -2.55% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +13.17% (3119 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional (Local) | FanDuel | 2.65 | 42.7% |
| Vitória SC (Visit) | GTbets | 3.82 | 29.6% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 4.09 | 27.7% |