Date: 2026-04-06
Consensus probability analysis for Napoli v AC Milan across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +1.99% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (Local) | 2.64 | +37.30% | +0.000% | -1.54% |
| AC Milan (Visit) | 3.19 | +30.96% | +0.000% | -1.23% |
| Draw | 3.25 | +31.38% | +0.018% | +1.99% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.004% (4 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (Local) | 1xBet | 2.64 | 37.9% |
| AC Milan (Visit) | 1xBet | 3.19 | 31.3% |
| Draw | Unibet (SE) | 3.25 | 30.8% |